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2024-12-14 11:00:16

Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue should be dismissed immediately. The only way is for the ruling party members to vote for impeachment.Australian Prime Minister: Papua New Guinea rugby team will enter the Australian League in 2028.


Huajin Securities: Concerned about the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea, Huajin Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 11th, the 2024 China E-sports Industry Annual Conference was held in Beijing, and the 2024 E-sports Annual Report was released during the conference. The data showed that the e-sports industry showed a positive development trend. "High-quality IP+ games" resonance mode or long-term empowerment game industry development. 2) The popularity of Marvel Comics is unprecedented, and the head manufacturers inject new IP vitality into the game. The achievements of "Marvel Comics Strive for the Front" may set a benchmark for the market, open the world fun competition+high-quality IP or give birth to new topics. 3) "Adapting to local conditions" is both internal and external, and the IP effect is remarkable. Based on the model of Watching Pioneer 2, the "big IP+ competition" has been deeply cultivated. The globalization has brought unprecedented popularity to Marvel Comics, and its novel model is expected to give full play to the value of high-quality IP, provide guidance and reference for industrial development, and empower the development of the game industry for a long time. 4) The annual meeting of e-sports industry was held, and the data showed that China e-sports was full of vitality. High-quality IP+ games are expected to continue to inject vitality into the game industry, paying attention to the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea.List of A-share share repurchase: 16 companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, and on December 12, a total of 16 companies issued announcements related to share repurchase. Among them, four companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, two companies' repurchase plans were approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and six companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of a company's stock repurchase plan on that day exceeded 10 million. Nanshan aluminum, Longzhu Science and Technology and Longzhu Science and Technology have the highest repurchase plans, and they plan to repurchase no more than 600 million yuan, 5,895,100 yuan and 1,171,000 yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, the repurchase plans of two companies exceeded 10 million on that day. Huaan Securities and Tongkun have the highest repurchase amount, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 200 million yuan and 51,966,700 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Shunluo Electronics, Shengquan Group and Hailiang have the highest repurchase amounts, with 9.009 million yuan, 3.8251 million yuan and 3.5187 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, the repurchase amount of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Chengda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Jinshi Resources Co., Ltd. and Yingfangwei Co., Ltd. have completed the highest repurchase amounts, with 57,061,600 yuan, 53,158,000 yuan and 31,405,600 yuan respectively.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).


The number of employed people in Australia increased by 35,613 in November, and it is estimated to be 25,000.The law enforcement agencies of China and the Philippines cooperated again to repatriate more than 30 Philippine citizens engaged in offshore gambling in the Philippines. On December 12, the law enforcement agencies of China and the Philippines cooperated again to repatriate more than 30 China citizens engaged in offshore gambling in the Philippines. This is the fourth batch of repatriation between China and the Philippines after the Philippine government announced a total ban on offshore gambling in the Philippines. The Philippine Embassy in the Philippines will continue to strengthen law enforcement cooperation with the Philippine side and promote the orderly repatriation of relevant personnel on the basis of protecting the legitimate rights and interests of China citizens.The restricted shares with a market value of 2.546 billion yuan were lifted today. Yongda, Sitaili and Dameng Data were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Thursday (December 12), the restricted shares of 8 companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 175 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 2.546 billion yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 10 million. Si Taili, Yongda and Ningxin New Materials were among the top, with 95,895,400 shares, 65,203,300 shares and 6,633,200 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili and Dameng Data are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 1.039 billion yuan, 992 million yuan and 349 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of the two companies released from the ban exceeded 10%. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili Co., Ltd. and Ningxincai Co., Ltd. have the highest proportion of lifting the ban, accounting for 27.17%, 21.87% and 7.13% respectively.

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